Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001339 0.001454 0.001578 0.001721 0.001884 0.002062 0.002275
2025-11-30 0.001183 0.001335 0.001507 0.001719 0.001975 0.002277 0.002665
2025-12-07 0.001061 0.001229 0.001426 0.001678 0.001997 0.002394 0.002936
2025-12-14 0.000979 0.001157 0.001372 0.001657 0.002032 0.002519 0.003219
2025-12-21 0.000904 0.001085 0.001310 0.001615 0.002029 0.002588 0.003429
2025-12-28 0.000814 0.000988 0.001207 0.001510 0.001931 0.002514 0.003420
2026-01-04 0.000752 0.000922 0.001140 0.001446 0.001881 0.002499 0.003492
2026-01-11 0.000714 0.000884 0.001106 0.001424 0.001886 0.002561 0.003686
2026-01-18 0.000684 0.000856 0.001083 0.001416 0.001909 0.002650 0.003933
2026-01-25 0.000751 0.000961 0.001248 0.001686 0.002370 0.003470 0.005553
2026-02-01 0.000703 0.000906 0.001185 0.001615 0.002298 0.003417 0.005593
2026-02-08 0.000671 0.000870 0.001147 0.001580 0.002280 0.003453 0.005809
2026-02-15 0.000653 0.000857 0.001146 0.001609 0.002381 0.003729 0.006604
2026-02-22 0.000627 0.000831 0.001126 0.001607 0.002431 0.003923 0.007286
2026-03-01 0.000594 0.000795 0.001087 0.001570 0.002416 0.003992 0.007706
2026-03-08 0.000569 0.000767 0.001059 0.001551 0.002430 0.004119 0.008295
2026-03-15 0.000542 0.000735 0.001022 0.001512 0.002404 0.004161 0.008686
2026-03-22 0.000503 0.000684 0.000954 0.001417 0.002264 0.003950 0.008359
2026-03-29 0.000475 0.000648 0.000909 0.001358 0.002190 0.003871 0.008382
2026-04-05 0.000458 0.000628 0.000886 0.001338 0.002187 0.003944 0.008853
2026-04-12 0.000444 0.000613 0.000872 0.001330 0.002208 0.004073 0.009532
2026-04-19 0.000483 0.000681 0.000995 0.001577 0.002770 0.005579 0.015489
2026-04-26 0.000458 0.000648 0.000950 0.001513 0.002674 0.005441 0.015432